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>>18195
An absolutely amazing post, that highlights the cognitive bias in creationists, so good in fact I feel it's worth quoting in full.
>>18193
I couldn't find the complete text of the paper (which IMO is bullshit for an 18-year-old paper, but whatever), but I did find something interesting.
First, most obviously, is that the methodology is inapplicable to the question of the plausibility of evolution by natural selection. What's being investigated is a particular model of how enzymes might have arisen. The paper is basically saying "if the assumptions we made are valid, it's statistically improbable that enzymes arose by random assemblage of unrelated protein folds".
Second, apparently this paper is circulated around creationist circles. I think this is interesting. Regardless of the probability of enzymes assembling randomly, I wonder about the probability of a naive layman stumbling upon such a technical paper.
Finally there's something else that should be mentioned. It doesn't make or break the validity of the argument, but I think it helps shed some light on the motivation behind the paper.
The (apparently only?) author is Douglas D. Axe. I don't know what the D stands for, which makes his name difficult to Google, but Douglas Axe (without a D) is a molecular biologist and the director of the Discovery Institute. ResearchGate lists Ann Katharine Gauger (also from the institute) as a common co-author of D.D. Axe's, so that's good enough for me to conclude that Douglas D. Axe and Douglas Axe are the same person.
So what's the point? The point is that ol' Dougy here had a point to make. He wanted to connect a very high improbability value with the assemblage of proteins, and he wanted to get that connection published on a peer-reviewed journal any way he could. He knew if he made the paper technical enough 99.9% of people wouldn't be able to understand what it's saying (if they can even get their hands on it), so all he needed to do was find some way to make a reasonably legitimate experiment but fucked just enough to get some stupidly high power of 10, but not so fucked that it wouldn't get past the reviewers. Once it's published all he needs to do is pass it around his creationist buddies to use as propaganda.
I'll admit it's clever, but ultimately it doesn't amount to more than editing Wikipedia to say that you're the president of the United States. It doesn't fool anyone.
Here's what other people had to say on the paper: https://biology.stackexchange.com/questions/51670/can-estimating-the-likelihood-of-protein-sequences-adopting-functional-enzyme-fo